A men's college basketball game between St. Bonaventure Bonnies and Richmond Spiders scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -1.5 and -2.5, and total points over/under at 147.5 and 149.5.
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (St. Bonaventure win and Richmond win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket's moneyline correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market as currently drafted - it is logically incoherent. Use Polymarket's moneyline specification as the correct resolution standard. All spread and total markets are consistent across platforms and should resolve identically based on final score including overtime.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If St. Bonaventure wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Richmond wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical impossibility for a binary market. All other markets (spreads, totals) align with Polymarket on final score determination including overtime and cancellation handling.
Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes: resolves to 'St. Bonaventure Bonnies' if they win, or 'Richmond Spiders' if they win. Spreads and totals align with Kalshi on final score including overtime, postponement (market remains open), and cancellation (50-50 split).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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