TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Washington Revolutionaries (W)
Volume:
$4,672
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between St. Bonaventure Bonnies and George Washington Revolutionaries scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are attempting to resolve based on the final game outcome, but they employ fundamentally different resolution mechanics that create a critical logical divergence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory—it specifies Yes resolution for both possible game outcomes, which violates binary market logic. Polymarket provides a coherent binary structure. This is a data integrity failure that makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable as documented.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether the market should resolve Yes only for St. Bonaventure, only for George Washington, or if it is a different market type entirely. Polymarket's market is tradeable as written: bet on St. Bonaventure to win the game.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all market. Resolves to 'St. Bonaventure Bonnies' if St. Bonaventure wins; resolves to 'George Washington Revolutionaries' if George Washington wins. Postponed games remain open; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. Final score including overtime determines outcome.
- Kalshi: Defective market structure. States 'If St. Bonaventure wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If George Washington wins... resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes in a binary market—this is a logical contradiction and data integrity failure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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