TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce
Volume:
$860,698
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Serie A soccer match between SSC Napoli and US Lecce scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss), total goals scored, and are hosted across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms with slightly different resolution scopes and edge-case handling.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to YES on full cancellation, while win markets resolve NO. Kalshi total-goals markets contain no cancellation clause, creating settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Before March 14, 2026, confirm with Kalshi whether canceled matches default to 0 total goals (all Kalshi markets NO) or remain open. On Polymarket, note that a full cancellation pays the draw market but not the win markets—a rare arbitrage risk.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three outcome markets (Lecce Win, Draw, Napoli Win) resolving based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Explicit cancellation rule: draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up; win markets resolve NO if canceled. Primary source is official Serie A statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Kalshi: Four total-goals markets (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5) resolving YES if threshold exceeded after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement language provided; settlement logic on non-occurrence is undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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