TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio
Volume:
$1,545,344
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Serie A soccer match between SS Lazio and US Sassuolo Calcio scheduled for March 9, 2026. Markets are offered on both platforms covering three mutually exclusive outcomes: Lazio win, Sassuolo win, or draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a cancellation clause that creates a logical divergence from Kalshi's straightforward three-outcome framework. If the match is played and ends in a draw, the two platforms will resolve differently on the draw outcome.Hero Tip:
Assume the match will be played as scheduled on March 9, 2026. In a draw scenario, Kalshi resolves Yes and Polymarket resolves No. Only if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game will Polymarket's draw market resolve Yes. Monitor official Serie A communications for postponement or cancellation notices.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three binary outcomes all resolve to Yes: Lazio win, Sassuolo win, or Tie. Tie is treated as a valid match outcome. Quote: 'If Tie wins the Lazio vs Sassuolo professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with different logic. Lazio and Sassuolo win markets resolve Yes/No based on match result. Draw market resolves Yes only if game is canceled with no make-up; otherwise No. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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