TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SS Juve Stabia vs. Carrarese Calcio
Volume:
$66,485
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between SS Juve Stabia and Carrarese Calcio scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi predict the outcome (Stabia win, Carrarese win, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market includes an explicit cancellation resolution clause (resolves YES if game canceled with no make-up), while Kalshi's tie market lacks this clause, creating divergent settlement logic for cancellation events.Hero Tip:
Monitor cancellation risk closely. If the match is canceled without a make-up game, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES while Kalshi's tie market will likely remain unresolved or follow standard no-play protocols. Avoid assuming parity between these two draw/tie markets in your hedging strategy.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering all outcomes. Draw market uniquely resolves YES upon game cancellation with no make-up: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.' Win markets resolve NO in cancellation. Postponement keeps markets open until completion.
- Kalshi: Single three-outcome market (Tie, Carrarese, Stabia). Resolves YES if any outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data. Standard market behavior would require actual match result for settlement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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