TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. SV 07 Elversberg
Volume:
$125,062
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga 2 (German second division) soccer match between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and SV 07 Elversberg scheduled for March 13, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome (win/loss/draw) after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with consistent resolution criteria across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms apply identical match outcome logic (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time/penalties) with consistent handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics as recognized by the governing body and event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting sources.Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: SpVgg Greuther Fürth win, SV 07 Elversberg win, or draw
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, win markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played on the rescheduled date
- Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket win markets (Fürth/Elversberg) resolve No; draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi's combined outcome market structure treats cancellation as a Yes resolution for any outcome option.
- Source delay: If official Bundesliga statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may proceed using consensus from credible sports reporting sources
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official statistics are the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours, credible reporting consensus is used. Markets remain open if postponed until rescheduled match completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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