Spurs vs. Nuggets

Divergence Detected

Critical Divergence Points:

• Polymarket: Aligned with comprehensive market design: Polymarket defines 80 distinct markets across moneyline, spread, over/under, player props (points, rebounds, assists), first-half variants, and alternative thresholds. Each market specifies resolution source (NBA.com official box score), threshold logic (e.g., 'more than 24.5 points'), overtime inclusion, postponement handling ('market remains open'), cancellation protocol ('resolve 50-50'), and player inactivity rules ('resolve No'). Example: 'This market will resolve to Yes if Jamal Murray scores more than 24.5 points during the game... The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered... If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve No. The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.'
• Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi provides only two markets with severely incomplete definitions. Market 1 states 'If San Antonio wins the San Antonio at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' and Market 2 states 'If Denver wins the San Antonio at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' These definitions lack: (1) explicit resolution source, (2) overtime handling, (3) postponement protocol, (4) cancellation rules, (5) tie-breaking logic, and (6) any specification of what constitutes a 'win' (final score only? including overtime?). The markets are logically incomplete and cannot be reliably settled without substantial clarification.