TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Spurs vs. Heat
Volume:
$11,479,595
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's markets resolve YES for ANY outcome (either team winning), making them logically contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes where exactly one resolution path occurs per market.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely — it violates basic logic by resolving YES regardless of who wins. Trade only on Polymarket's markets, which have proper binary or categorical resolution structures. If you hold Kalshi positions, prepare for potential cancellation or 50-50 resolution due to the logical flaw.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Both Kalshi markets (items 1-2) state 'If Miami wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If San Antonio wins... then the market resolves to Yes', creating a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES for all possible outcomes. This makes the market unresolvable under standard binary logic.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard resolution logic: Polymarket structures the moneyline (item 1) as a categorical market resolving to 'Spurs' if Spurs win or 'Heat' if Heat win, ensuring exactly one outcome per game. All other Polymarket markets (spreads, totals, player props) use mutually exclusive thresholds with clear YES/NO or categorical resolution paths.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.