TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Spurs vs. Grizzlies
Volume:
$8,327,196
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the final outcome of the NBA game between the San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzlies scheduled for March 25 at 8:00 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either "Spurs" or "Grizzlies" accordingly.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) resolve YES for either team winning, making them logically contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket's markets (items 3-87) use standard binary or player prop logic with clear resolution criteria. The two platforms are fundamentally incompatible on the core game outcome.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline markets entirely — they are broken. Trade only Polymarket's markets, which have coherent resolution logic. If you hold Kalshi positions, escalate to the platform for clarification or cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) state 'If San Antonio wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Memphis wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market resolves YES regardless of outcome, violating basic binary market structure. No resolution criteria for NO outcome are provided.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard market logic: Polymarket's moneyline (item 3) resolves to 'Spurs' if Spurs win, 'Grizzlies' if Grizzlies win, with 50-50 tie-break and postponement/cancellation clauses. All 84 additional markets (spreads, totals, player props) use clear binary or threshold-based logic with explicit resolution sources (NBA.com official box score) and edge-case handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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