TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto
Volume:
$890,517
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Liga Portugal professional soccer match between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and FC Porto scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket and Kalshi, covering three mutually exclusive outcomes: Benfica win, Porto win, or draw, all determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market includes a non-field cancellation clause (resolves YES if game canceled with no make-up), while Kalshi's tie market appears to resolve only on field outcomes. This creates a logical fork in the cancellation scenario.Hero Tip:
Monitor for any postponement or cancellation announcements before March 8, 2026. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket draw traders will receive YES while Kalshi tie traders face resolution ambiguity. Consider the cancellation risk when positioning, especially on Polymarket's draw market.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Offers three separate binary markets covering Benfica win, Porto win, and draw. Draw market uniquely resolves YES if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, in addition to resolving YES for on-field draws. Primary source is official Liga Portugal statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Kalshi: Offers a single market with three mutually exclusive outcomes (Tie, SL Benfica, Porto). All outcomes resolve YES only if the corresponding result occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard market practice implies cancellation would not trigger any YES resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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