TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto
polymarket
kalshi

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto

Volume:
$890,517

Draw (Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 9, 2026

Closed: Mar 8, 2:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$59,625
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,776
N/A
N/A
$16,766
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$481,219
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

SL Benfica

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89,495
N/A
N/A
$63,433
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Porto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151,996
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Porto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88,406
N/A
N/A
$76,457
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a Liga Portugal professional soccer match between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and FC Porto scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket and Kalshi, covering three mutually exclusive outcomes: Benfica win, Porto win, or draw, all determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market includes a non-field cancellation clause (resolves YES if game canceled with no make-up), while Kalshi's tie market appears to resolve only on field outcomes. This creates a logical fork in the cancellation scenario.Hero tip: Monitor for any postponement or cancellation announcements before March 8, 2026. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket draw traders will receive YES while Kalshi tie traders face resolution ambiguity. Consider the cancellation risk when positioning, especially on Polymarket's draw market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers three separate binary markets covering Benfica win, Porto win, and draw. Draw market uniquely resolves YES if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, in addition to resolving YES for on-field draws. Primary source is official Liga Portugal statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
  • Kalshi: Offers a single market with three mutually exclusive outcomes (Tie, SL Benfica, Porto). All outcomes resolve YES only if the corresponding result occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard market practice implies cancellation would not trigger any YES resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.