TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. UT Arlington Mavericks
Volume:
$1,003,090
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Southern Utah Thunderbirds and UT Arlington Mavericks scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (-8.5 for UT Arlington), and multiple over/under totals (143.5, 144.5, 145.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes (UT Arlington win and Southern Utah win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline is logically sound.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline until the contradiction is resolved by the platform. Use Polymarket moneyline as the reliable reference. Spread and total markets across both platforms are internally consistent and resolvable based on final game score including overtime.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline markets contain logical contradiction: 'If UT Arlington wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Southern Utah wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve Yes. This makes the market unresolvable as written.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name: 'Southern Utah Thunderbirds' if they win, 'UT Arlington Mavericks' if they win. Spread resolves Yes if UT Arlington wins by 9+, otherwise No. Totals resolve Over/Under based on combined score thresholds (144+ for O/U 143.5, 145+ for O/U 144.5, 146+ for O/U 145.5). All logic is mutually exclusive and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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