TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Tarleton State Texans
Volume:
$300,748
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Southern Utah Thunderbirds and Tarleton State Texans scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (-4.5 and -5.5), and total points over/under (142.5, 143.5, 144.5, 145.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Tarleton St. wins OR Southern Utah wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Spread and total markets across both platforms are consistent.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi moneyline until clarification. Polymarket moneyline is standard binary (winner takes all). All spread markets (-5.5 and -4.5) and total markets (142.5, 143.5, 144.5, 145.5) are logically consistent across platforms and use identical resolution methodology: final score including overtime, 50-50 split if game canceled with no makeup, market remains open if postponed.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Tarleton St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Southern Utah wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where all outcomes resolve Yes. Quote: 'If Tarleton St. wins the Southern Utah at Tarleton St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Southern Utah wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market uses standard binary logic: 'If Southern Utah Thunderbirds win, resolve to Southern Utah Thunderbirds. If Tarleton State Texans win, resolve to Tarleton State Texans.' Spread and total markets use threshold-based resolution with explicit point/score cutoffs and consistent 50-50 cancellation clause.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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