TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats
Volume:
$335,891
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Southern Utah Thunderbirds and Abilene Christian Wildcats scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spread, and over/under totals across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Southern Utah win and Abilene Christian win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. This market has a critical data integrity failure—both outcomes resolve to Yes, which violates basic binary logic. Focus trading activity on Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and over/under markets, which have clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria. Request Kalshi to either clarify the intended structure or cancel the market.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Southern Utah Thunderbirds or Abilene Christian Wildcats). Spread markets (-6.5 and -7.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Over/Under markets (145.5 and 144.5) resolve based on combined score. All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Key Quote: 'If the Southern Utah Thunderbirds win, the market will resolve to Southern Utah Thunderbirds. If the Abilene Christian Wildcats win, the market will resolve to Abilene Christian Wildcats.'
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No differentiation between winner and loser. Key Quote: 'If Southern Utah wins...resolves to Yes. If Abilene Christian wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a critical specification error.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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