TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Troy Trojans (W)
Volume:
$8,294
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Southern Miss Golden Eagles and Troy Trojans scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both Southern Miss winning and Troy winning are mapped to the same resolution outcome (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract. Polymarket's logic is internally consistent and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform issues a clarification or amendment. The market as written cannot distinguish between the two possible game outcomes. Polymarket offers a clear, resolvable binary structure.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Winner-take-all binary resolution with clear outcome mapping. Southern Miss win resolves to "Southern Miss Golden Eagles", Troy win resolves to "Troy Trojans". Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Overtime included in final score determination.
- Kalshi: Defective resolution logic maps both possible outcomes (Southern Miss win OR Troy win) to the same resolution state (Yes). This creates a logical impossibility for a binary market and makes it impossible to distinguish between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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