TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces
Volume:
$397,982
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a college basketball game between Southern Illinois Salukis and Evansville Aces scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, multiple spread variations, and over/under totals across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Southern Illinois win and Evansville win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market mathematically unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market. The resolution logic is broken and cannot distinguish between the two outcomes. Trade exclusively on Polymarket, which has coherent, mutually exclusive resolution criteria for all market types.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to either 'Southern Illinois Salukis' or 'Evansville Aces' based on final score. Spread markets (-8.5, -9.5, -10.5) resolve based on margin thresholds (9+, 10+, 11+ points respectively). Over/Under markets (138.5, 139.5) resolve based on combined totals (139+, 140+ points). Postponements keep markets open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the Southern Illinois Salukis win, the market will resolve to Southern Illinois Salukis. If the Evansville Aces win, the market will resolve to Evansville Aces.'
- Kalshi: Moneyline contains logical error: 'If Southern Illinois wins...then resolves to Yes. If Evansville wins...then resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to identical resolution, creating an unresolvable market. Key Quote: 'If Southern Illinois wins the...game...then the market resolves to Yes. If Evansville wins the...game...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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