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$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC
kalshi
polymarket

Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC

Volume:
$593,065

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 14, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 1:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$19,771
$53,635
N/A
N/A
$33,742
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Leicester

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$4,857
$134,497
N/A
N/A
$119,341
Settled
No
kalshi

Southampton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$6,603
$116,799
N/A
N/A
$90,707
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,857
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Southampton FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$220,790
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Leicester City FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,487
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC match scheduled for February 14, 2026, in the FA Cup. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). The group includes three possible outcomes: Southampton win, Leicester win, or a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms align on the core resolution window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and the three possible outcomes, with minor differences in cancellation handling that do not affect normal match resolution.Primary resolution logic: The FA official records (thefa.com/competitions/thefacup) and professional soccer match statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome is determined by the score at the end of 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
  • Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution scope
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Southampton win, Leicester win, or draw
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
  • If match is canceled with no rescheduled date, Polymarket win markets resolve to No and draw market resolves to Yes; Kalshi markets resolve to Yes for all outcomes

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a future date
  • Cancellation without reschedule: Polymarket: draw market resolves Yes, Southampton and Leicester win markets resolve No. Kalshi: all three outcome markets resolve Yes (logical contradiction in Kalshi design)
  • Extra time or penalties: Only the 90-minute plus stoppage time result counts; any goals scored in extra time or penalty shootout outcomes are excluded
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 14, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.