TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC
Volume:
$593,065
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC match scheduled for February 14, 2026, in the FA Cup. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). The group includes three possible outcomes: Southampton win, Leicester win, or a draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms align on the core resolution window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and the three possible outcomes, with minor differences in cancellation handling that do not affect normal match resolution.
Primary resolution logic:
The FA official records (thefa.com/competitions/thefacup) and professional soccer match statisticsCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined by the score at the end of 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution scope
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Southampton win, Leicester win, or draw
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
- If match is canceled with no rescheduled date, Polymarket win markets resolve to No and draw market resolves to Yes; Kalshi markets resolve to Yes for all outcomes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a future date
- Cancellation without reschedule: Polymarket: draw market resolves Yes, Southampton and Leicester win markets resolve No. Kalshi: all three outcome markets resolve Yes (logical contradiction in Kalshi design)
- Extra time or penalties: Only the 90-minute plus stoppage time result counts; any goals scored in extra time or penalty shootout outcomes are excluded
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 14, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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