This event group covers a women's college basketball game between South Florida Bulls and Rice Owls scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the final outcome of this single game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (South Florida win or Rice win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market unresolvable and meaningless.
Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket as the reliable specification. Kalshi's market appears to have a specification error—clarify with Kalshi support whether this is a data entry mistake or if there is an undisclosed third outcome category. Do not settle positions on Kalshi until this is resolved.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary outcome market with two distinct resolution paths: South Florida Bulls (if South Florida wins) or Rice Owls (if Rice wins). Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Logically contradictory specification: states market resolves Yes if South Florida wins AND Yes if Rice wins, leaving no path to No resolution. This makes the market logically unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.