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South Florida Bulls vs. Rice Owls
kalshi
polymarket

South Florida Bulls vs. Rice Owls

Volume:
$16,691

South Florida

 - Kalshi

South Florida - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 26, 2026

Closed: Feb 25, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

South Florida

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,462
N/A
N/A
$6,087
Settled
Yes
polymarket

South Florida Bulls vs. Rice Owls

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,616
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,166
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rice

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,852
N/A
N/A
$2,808
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 157.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,595
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the South Florida Bulls and Rice Owls scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (-11.5 for South Florida), and total points (O/U 157.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (South Florida win or Rice win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline and all derivative markets (spread, total) maintain consistent binary logic.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market in its current form. The market logic is broken and will create settlement disputes. Trade only Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets, which have internally consistent resolution criteria. Verify with Kalshi support that the moneyline market terms will be corrected before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes for both South Florida win AND Rice win, creating logical impossibility. Exact quote: 'If South Florida wins...then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Rice wins...then the market resolves to Yes'. This is a data integrity failure.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly resolves to 'South Florida Bulls' if South Florida wins or 'Rice Owls' if Rice wins. Spread market resolves to 'South Florida Bulls' if they win by 12+ points, otherwise 'Rice Owls'. Total market resolves to 'Over' if combined score is 158+, otherwise 'Under'. All three markets use consistent binary logic with clear thresholds.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.