TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
South Florida Bulls vs. Memphis Tigers
Volume:
$1,572,508
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between South Florida Bulls and Memphis Tigers scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET at Memphis. Markets cover the moneyline winner, multiple point spread variations (-5.5, -6.5, -7.5), and total points over/under at different thresholds (160.5, 161.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both South Florida winning and Memphis winning resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that violates basic binary market logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until this is corrected. The spread and total markets on both platforms are logically sound and consistent. Polymarket's moneyline is the reliable reference for determining the game winner.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market contains contradictory resolution logic: 'If South Florida wins the South Florida at Memphis men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Memphis wins the South Florida at Memphis men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot resolve to the same value in a binary market.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'South Florida Bulls' if South Florida wins, or 'Memphis Tigers' if Memphis wins, with mutually exclusive outcomes. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. This follows standard binary market logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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