TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals
Volume:
$8,192,265
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between South Florida Bulls and Louisville Cardinals on March 19 at 12:00 AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different scopes: Kalshi settles exclusively on first-half combined scoring thresholds (67.5–91.5 points), while Polymarket settles on full-game outcomes (winner, spread, and over/under on total points 145.5–168.5).Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi, you are trading first-half scoring only and will resolve well before the game ends. If you bet on Polymarket, you are trading full-game outcomes and must wait for final score. Do not assume a Kalshi first-half result predicts a Polymarket full-game result—they are independent markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves exclusively on first-half combined scoring across nine markets with thresholds ranging from 67.5 to 91.5 points. Each market resolves YES if combined first-half score exceeds the stated threshold, NO otherwise. Key quote: 'If the teams in the game collectively score more than [X] points in the 1st Half of the South Florida vs Louisville men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket resolves on full-game outcomes across four distinct market types: (1) moneyline (winner only), (2) multiple spread tiers (Louisville -1.5 to -19.5, each requiring a specific margin of victory), and (3) over/under on full-game total points (145.5–168.5). All outcomes are determined by final score including overtime. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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