TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)
Volume:
$1,196,758
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between South Carolina Gamecocks and Connecticut Huskies on April 3 at 7:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution frameworks. Kalshi contains 10 spread-based markets with overlapping and contradictory thresholds that create logical impossibilities (e.g., a single game outcome cannot simultaneously resolve YES for 'UConn wins by >3.5' AND 'South Carolina wins by >3.5'). Polymarket is a simple binary winner-take-all market. These are not the same event group.Hero Tip:
Do not treat these as equivalent markets. Kalshi appears to be a collection of individual spread/margin markets, each with its own YES/NO outcome. Polymarket is a single head-to-head winner market. If you are hedging or arbitraging across platforms, you must price each Kalshi market independently and recognize that Polymarket resolves to exactly one winner, not multiple margin thresholds.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents 10 separate spread-based markets, each with a distinct margin threshold (3.5, 6.5, 9.5, 12.5, 15.5, 18.5, 21.5 points for UConn wins; 3.5, 6.5, 9.5 points for South Carolina wins). Each market resolves YES independently if its threshold is met. This creates logical contradictions: a single game result cannot satisfy mutually exclusive conditions (e.g., 'UConn +5' satisfies 'UConn >3.5' but not 'UConn >6.5', yet both are presented as separate YES/NO outcomes). Quote: 'If UConn wins by more than 3.5 points... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If South Carolina wins by more than 3.5 points... then the market resolves to Yes' — both cannot occur for the same game.
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket is a simple binary winner market with exactly one outcome per game. It resolves to either 'South Carolina Gamecocks' or 'Connecticut Huskies' based on the final score, with provisions for postponement (market remains open) or cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: 'If the South Carolina Gamecocks win, the market will resolve to South Carolina Gamecocks. If the Connecticut Huskies win, the market will resolve to Connecticut Huskies.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.