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404,744

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2,691

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5

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South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves
kalshi
polymarket

South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves

Volume:
$948,287

South Alabama

 - Kalshi

South Alabama - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

South Alabama

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$354,626
$533,983
N/A
N/A
$256,898
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arkansas St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$356,073
$297,946
N/A
N/A
$185,241
Settled
No
polymarket

South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$58,830
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 150.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,511
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 149.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,825
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 151.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,758
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -7.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,037
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -6.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,397
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 8

Description

A college basketball game between South Alabama Jaguars and Arkansas State Red Wolves scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-6.5 and -7.5), and over/under totals at three different lines (149.5, 150.5, 151.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Arkansas State win and South Alabama win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating data integrity failure.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market in its current form. The market logic is broken - it cannot distinguish between the two teams winning. Polymarket's moneyline, spreads, and totals all have valid resolution logic. Request clarification or correction from Kalshi before engaging with their moneyline product.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market has contradictory resolution: 'If Arkansas St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If South Alabama wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to identical resolution, creating logical impossibility with no differentiation between winners.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market has standard binary resolution: resolves to 'South Alabama Jaguars' if South Alabama wins, or 'Arkansas State Red Wolves' if Arkansas State wins. Clear mutual exclusivity and resolvability. Spread and total markets also follow consistent, unambiguous logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.