TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Solana Up or Down - March 6, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Solana Up or Down - March 6, 5PM ET

Volume:
$50,121

Solana Up or Down - March 6, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

Solana Up or Down - March 6, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 7, 2026

Closed: Mar 6, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Solana Up or Down - March 6, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

83 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,254
N/A
N/A
$808
Settled
Yes
kalshi

62 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,035
N/A
N/A
$444
Settled
Yes
kalshi

84 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$948
N/A
N/A
$227
Settled
Yes
kalshi

81 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$486
N/A
N/A
$481
Settled
Yes
kalshi

77 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$344
N/A
N/A
$117
Settled
Yes
kalshi

64 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
$277
Settled
Yes
kalshi

75 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$184
N/A
N/A
$182
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$176
N/A
N/A
$133
Settled
Yes
kalshi

72 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$93
Settled
Yes
kalshi

60 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
Yes
kalshi

82 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

69 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

70 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

71 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

74 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

78 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
Yes
kalshi

76 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
Yes
kalshi

68 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

61 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

63 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

66 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

85 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,656
N/A
N/A
$2,318
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 51

Description

This event group tracks whether Solana's price moves up or down on March 6, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance SOL/USDT 1-hour candle open/close comparison, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI 60-second average. Both platforms measure directional price movement but employ fundamentally different data sources, methodologies, and settlement mechanics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi employ incompatible data sources (Binance SOL/USDT vs. CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI), measurement windows (1-hour candle open/close vs. 60-second average), and resolution logic (directional comparison vs. absolute price threshold). A single SOL price movement can resolve differently on each platform.Hero tip: Polymarket resolves based on whether the Binance 1H candle close is >= open (binary directional bet). Kalshi resolves based on whether CF Benchmarks 60-second average exceeds 59.9999 (effectively a YES if price is above ~60, NO if below). These measure different things. If you hold both, monitor Binance 1H candle direction separately from CF Benchmarks price level. Kalshi's 50 conditions are logically redundant; only the lowest threshold (59.9999) matters for final resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary directional comparison of Binance SOL/USDT 1-hour candle. Resolves UP if close >= open, DOWN if close < open. Data source: Binance official SOL/USDT pair. Key Quote: 'The close and open displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: 50 redundant YES/NO conditions based on CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI 60-second average before 5 PM EST. All resolve YES if average > 59.9999, NO otherwise. Data source: CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI. Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI before 5 PM EST is above [threshold] at 5 PM EST on Mar 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.