TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana Up or Down - March 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Solana Up or Down - March 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Volume:
$17,749

Solana Up or Down - March 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

 - Polymarket

Solana Up or Down - March 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 24, 2026

Closed: Mar 23, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Solana Up or Down - March 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,176
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$86 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,110
N/A
N/A
$2,027
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$87 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,379
N/A
N/A
$1,355
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$85 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,241
N/A
N/A
$1,005
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$88 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$970
N/A
N/A
$955
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$91 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$359
N/A
N/A
$311
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$319
N/A
N/A
$314
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$78 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$228
N/A
N/A
$227
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
$214
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
$43
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$68 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
$43
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$90 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$89 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$19
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$57 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$79 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$92 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,284
N/A
N/A
$2,083
Settled
No
kalshi

$94 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
$140
Settled
No
kalshi

$93 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
$65
Settled
No
kalshi

$96 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
No
kalshi

$95 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
No
kalshi

$108 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 76

Description

This event group tracks whether Solana's price moves up or down during a specific 4-hour window on March 23, 2026 (4:00 PM–8:00 PM ET). Polymarket resolves based on Chainlink's SOL/USD data stream comparing end-of-period to start-of-period price, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI index sampled at 5:00 PM EDT with 61 separate price-level thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct resolution methodologies using different data sources, measurement windows, and outcome structures. Polymarket uses a 4-hour directional comparison (Chainlink), while Kalshi uses a single-point-in-time snapshot (CF Benchmarks) with 61 granular price-level outcomes.Hero tip: Treat these as separate markets with independent resolution paths. Polymarket outcome depends on full 4-hour price movement; Kalshi outcomes depend on a single 5 PM EDT snapshot. Chainlink and CF Benchmarks may produce different price readings. Hedge or arbitrage only after confirming both data sources at settlement time.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary Up/Down resolution based on Chainlink SOL/USD price comparison: end-of-window (8:00 PM ET) versus start-of-window (4:00 PM ET). Resolves Up if end >= start. Single outcome per market. Source: Chainlink SOL/USD data stream at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd.
  • Kalshi: 61 separate Yes/No markets, each tied to a discrete price threshold. All sample CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI 60-second average at exactly 5:00 PM EDT. Each market resolves Yes if average > threshold (e.g., $47.9999, $48.9999, ... $121.9999). Source: CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI index.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.