TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana Up or Down - March 20, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Solana Up or Down - March 20, 5PM ET

Volume:
$60,102

Solana Up or Down - March 20, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

Solana Up or Down - March 20, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 21, 2026

Closed: Mar 20, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Solana Up or Down - March 20, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,167
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$89 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,153
N/A
N/A
$4,496
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,876
N/A
N/A
$6,876
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,899
N/A
N/A
$434
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$88 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,464
N/A
N/A
$765
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$85 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,128
N/A
N/A
$989
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$84 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$883
N/A
N/A
$740
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$87 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$810
N/A
N/A
$375
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$86 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$497
N/A
N/A
$145
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$82 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$364
N/A
N/A
$269
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$60 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$359
N/A
N/A
$359
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$359
N/A
N/A
$297
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$74 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$343
N/A
N/A
$343
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$340
N/A
N/A
$319
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$76 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
$240
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$225
N/A
N/A
$225
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$71 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$208
N/A
N/A
$204
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
$187
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$78 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
$131
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$79 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$73 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$69 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$41
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$68 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$65 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 51

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible resolution sources and logic. Polymarket resolves based on Binance SOL/USDT 1-hour candle open/close comparison, while Kalshi resolves based on 48 separate price thresholds using CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI 60-second average. These markets will produce different outcomes for the same event.Hero tip: Do not assume these markets will settle identically. Polymarket is a simple binary (Up if close >= open, Down otherwise) tied to Binance data. Kalshi appears to be a malformed market group with 48 conflicting yes/no conditions that all resolve YES if price exceeds their respective thresholds—there is no explicit NO condition, making Kalshi's resolution logic incomplete and potentially unresolvable. Arbitrage or hedge accordingly.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Resolves based on Binance SOL/USDT 1-hour candle comparison. Market resolves UP if close price >= open price for the 1H candle beginning at March 20, 5PM ET, DOWN otherwise. Source is explicitly Binance: 'The close and open displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Resolves based on CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI 60-second average price at 5PM EDT March 20, 2026. Contains 48 separate conditions, each stating 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Mar 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit NO condition is provided; all 48 rules resolve to YES if their threshold is exceeded.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.