TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
São Paulo FC vs. O'Higgins FC
Volume:
$112,761
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
São Paulo FC will face O'Higgins FC in a CONMEBOL Sudamericana match scheduled for April 14, 2026. This event group captures three mutually exclusive outcomes: a São Paulo victory, an O'Higgins victory, or a draw. All markets evaluate the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets are logically contradictory and collectively unresolvable: they each resolve YES for mutually exclusive outcomes (São Paulo win, O'Higgins win, and tie), meaning all three cannot simultaneously resolve YES, yet the rules state each resolves YES for its respective outcome. Polymarket's three markets are logically consistent and mutually exclusive. This is a fundamental data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group. Kalshi's resolution rules are internally contradictory—all three markets cannot resolve YES simultaneously, yet each is written to resolve YES for a different outcome. Polymarket's markets are logically sound: exactly one of the three (São Paulo win, O'Higgins win, or draw) will resolve YES. Trade only on Polymarket.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three markets, each resolving YES for a mutually exclusive outcome (São Paulo win, O'Higgins win, tie), but the rule structure implies all three could resolve YES simultaneously, creating a logical contradiction. Key quote: 'If Sao Paulo wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If O´Higgins wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This violates basic mutual exclusivity.
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound logic: Polymarket presents three mutually exclusive markets (draw, São Paulo win, O'Higgins win) with clear YES/NO resolution rules. Exactly one outcome will occur, and exactly one market will resolve YES. Key quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and 'If São Paulo FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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