TOTAL VOLUME:

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$107,351,958

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

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61%

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São Paulo FC vs. O'Higgins FC
kalshi
polymarket

São Paulo FC vs. O'Higgins FC

Volume:
$112,761

São Paulo FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 15, 2026

Closed: Apr 14, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

São Paulo FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,599
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sao Paulo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,029
N/A
N/A
$17,455
Settled
Yes
kalshi

O´Higgins

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,825
N/A
N/A
$19,125
Settled
No
polymarket

O'Higgins FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,087
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,942
N/A
N/A
$8,243
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (São Paulo FC vs. O'Higgins FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,280
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

São Paulo FC will face O'Higgins FC in a CONMEBOL Sudamericana match scheduled for April 14, 2026. This event group captures three mutually exclusive outcomes: a São Paulo victory, an O'Higgins victory, or a draw. All markets evaluate the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's three markets are logically contradictory and collectively unresolvable: they each resolve YES for mutually exclusive outcomes (São Paulo win, O'Higgins win, and tie), meaning all three cannot simultaneously resolve YES, yet the rules state each resolves YES for its respective outcome. Polymarket's three markets are logically consistent and mutually exclusive. This is a fundamental data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group. Kalshi's resolution rules are internally contradictory—all three markets cannot resolve YES simultaneously, yet each is written to resolve YES for a different outcome. Polymarket's markets are logically sound: exactly one of the three (São Paulo win, O'Higgins win, or draw) will resolve YES. Trade only on Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three markets, each resolving YES for a mutually exclusive outcome (São Paulo win, O'Higgins win, tie), but the rule structure implies all three could resolve YES simultaneously, creating a logical contradiction. Key quote: 'If Sao Paulo wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If O´Higgins wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This violates basic mutual exclusivity.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with sound logic: Polymarket presents three mutually exclusive markets (draw, São Paulo win, O'Higgins win) with clear YES/NO resolution rules. Exactly one outcome will occur, and exactly one market will resolve YES. Key quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and 'If São Paulo FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.