TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SNHL: Zug vs. Rapperswil-Jona Lakers
Volume:
$172
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A Swiss National League (SNHL) ice hockey match between EV Zug and SC Rapperswil-Jona Lakers scheduled for March 7, 2026. The event resolves based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contain a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Zug win or Rapperswil-Jona Lakers win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), rendering the market unresolvable and fundamentally broken as a prediction instrument.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic is logically impossible—it violates the basic principle that a binary market must have two distinct, mutually exclusive outcomes. Polymarket's structure is internally consistent and should be used as the reference. Contact Kalshi support to clarify or avoid this market entirely until corrected.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard winner-take-all binary structure. Resolves to 'Zug' if Zug wins; resolves to 'Rapperswil-Jona Lakers' if they win. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes. Key Quote: 'If Zug win, the market will resolve to Zug. If Rapperswil-Jona Lakers win, the market will resolve to Rapperswil-Jona Lakers.'
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory binary structure. States both 'If EV Zug wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If SC Rapperswil-Jona Lakers wins...resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to identical resolution, creating an impossible condition for a binary market. No edge case handling for postponement or cancellation is specified. Key Quote: 'If EV Zug wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If SC Rapperswil-Jona Lakers wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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