TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SNHL: Zug vs. Ambri-Piotta
Volume:
$776
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Swiss National League (SNHL) ice hockey match between EV Zug and HC Ambri-Piotta scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi both aim to resolve based on the final outcome of this professional game, with specific handling for postponements, cancellations, and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Zug win and Ambri-Piotta win) are stated to resolve to YES, which is impossible in a binary YES/NO market. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform issues a corrected resolution criteria. The Polymarket version is logically sound and should be treated as the reference market. Kalshi likely intended to create a YES/NO on Zug winning specifically, but the current wording resolves both outcomes to YES.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Categorical outcome market: resolves to either 'Zug' or 'Ambri-Piotta' based on final score including overtime and shootouts. Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Postponements keep market open. Key quote: 'If Zug win, the market will resolve to "Zug". If Ambri-Piotta win, the market will resolve to "Ambri-Piotta".'
- Kalshi: Binary YES/NO structure with logical error: states both 'If EV Zug wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If HC Ambri-Piotta wins... resolves to Yes', creating an unresolvable contradiction. Key quote: 'If EV Zug wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If HC Ambri-Piotta wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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