TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SNHL: Lugano vs. ZSC Lions
Volume:
$101
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Swiss National League (SNHL) ice hockey match between HC Lugano and ZSC Lions scheduled for March 5, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements, cancellations, and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Lugano win and ZSC Lions win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform issues a clarification or correction. The market as written cannot function as a binary contract. Polymarket's structure is logically sound and should be the reference for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome structure: resolves to 'Lugano' if Lugano wins, 'ZSC Lions' if ZSC Lions wins. Includes clear edge case handling for postponements (market stays open) and cancellations without makeup (50-50 split). Final score includes overtime and shootouts with one goal added to winner's score in shootout scenarios.
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic: states 'If HC Lugano wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If ZSC Lions wins...resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to identical resolution, violating binary market principles and making the contract unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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