TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SNHL: Lausanne vs. Davos
Volume:
$17
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Swiss National League (SNHL) ice hockey match between HC Lausanne and HC Davos scheduled for March 5, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi offer prediction markets on the outcome of this professional hockey game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction: both team-win scenarios are mapped to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket provides a coherent binary framework with explicit edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market structure is broken as documented. Polymarket's binary outcome model (Lausanne vs Davos) with postponement and cancellation rules is the only logically sound framework. Treat Kalshi as requiring platform clarification before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary outcome: Lausanne or Davos based on final score including overtime/shootouts. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: nationalleague.ch. Key Quote: 'If Lausanne win, the market will resolve to Lausanne. If Davos win, the market will resolve to Davos.'
- Kalshi: Contradictory dual-Yes mapping: both Lausanne win and Davos win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No explicit handling for postponement or cancellation. Key Quote: 'If HC Lausanne wins... Yes. If HC Davos wins... Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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