Kalshi market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. It requires the market to resolve YES for all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Midtjylland win, Soenderjyske win, or tie), which is impossible. Polymarket markets are logically sound with three separate binary markets covering all outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a fatal logical flaw where all three resolution conditions cannot simultaneously be true. Polymarket offers three independent, mutually exclusive binary markets that properly partition the outcome space. Trade Polymarket only.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Sønderjyske win resolves YES only if Sønderjyske wins, (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, (3) FC Midtjylland win resolves YES only if Midtjylland wins. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Resolution source: official Superligaen statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves Sønderjyske and Midtjylland to NO, Draw to YES.
Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions stated as: 'If Midtjylland wins... then resolves to Yes. If Soenderjyske wins... then resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market must resolve YES regardless of the actual match outcome, making it unresolvable and unenforceable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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