TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SMU Mustangs vs. Syracuse Orange
Volume:
$2,752,065
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between SMU Mustangs and Syracuse Orange scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline outcome, point spread outcomes at different thresholds, and total points scored.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (SMU win and Syracuse win) resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket and Kalshi spread/total markets are internally consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. The resolution logic is broken and will not differentiate between outcomes. Use Polymarket's moneyline market for binary game outcome exposure. Spread and Over/Under markets on both platforms are logically sound and can be traded with confidence.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical contradiction: 'If Syracuse wins...then Yes' AND 'If SMU wins...then Yes'. Both outcomes map to identical resolution, violating binary market structure. Quote: 'If Syracuse wins the SMU at Syracuse men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If SMU wins the SMU at Syracuse men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market uses standard binary logic: SMU win resolves to 'SMU Mustangs', Syracuse win resolves to 'Syracuse Orange'. Spread markets (-2.5, -1.5) use point differential thresholds. Over/Under markets (156.5, 157.5) use combined score thresholds. All markets include consistent 50-50 cancellation protocol. Quote: 'If the SMU Mustangs win, the market will resolve to SMU Mustangs. If the Syracuse Orange win, the market will resolve to Syracuse Orange.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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