TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SMU Mustangs vs. Stanford Cardinal (W)
Volume:
$21,140
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between SMU Mustangs and Stanford Cardinal scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on the final score of the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (SMU win and Stanford win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The current wording guarantees both outcomes resolve to Yes, which violates basic binary market structure. Polymarket's winner-take-all logic is clear and tradeable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all resolution with explicit contingencies. SMU victory resolves to SMU Mustangs, Stanford victory resolves to Stanford Cardinal, game cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50, postponement keeps market open. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Contradictory dual-Yes mapping. Both SMU win and Stanford win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No explicit handling of cancellation or postponement scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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