TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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SMU Mustangs vs. Stanford Cardinal
kalshi
polymarket

SMU Mustangs vs. Stanford Cardinal

Volume:
$1,015,174

Stanford

 - Kalshi

Stanford - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 9:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Stanford

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$475,164
N/A
N/A
$274,324
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,343
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 155.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$182
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SMU

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$460,391
N/A
N/A
$310,663
Settled
No
polymarket

SMU Mustangs vs. Stanford Cardinal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,580
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,515
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the men's college basketball game between SMU Mustangs and Stanford Cardinal scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET at Stanford. Markets include moneyline (winner), spread betting (SMU -1.5 and Stanford -1.5), and total points over/under (155.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (SMU win and Stanford win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes and rendering the market unresolvable.Hero tip: The Kalshi moneyline market is fundamentally broken and should not be traded. All three Polymarket markets (moneyline, SMU spread, Stanford spread, and total) use consistent, mutually exclusive resolution logic: game winner determines moneyline outcome, point differential determines spread outcome, and combined score determines total outcome. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If SMU wins then Yes, If Stanford wins then Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same resolution, making it impossible to determine the correct resolution based on game result.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline market states: If SMU wins then SMU Mustangs, If Stanford wins then Stanford Cardinal. Spread markets resolve based on point differential (2+ points required). Total market resolves based on combined score (156+ = Over). All outcomes are mutually exclusive and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.