TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SMU Mustangs vs. Stanford Cardinal
Volume:
$1,015,174
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the men's college basketball game between SMU Mustangs and Stanford Cardinal scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET at Stanford. Markets include moneyline (winner), spread betting (SMU -1.5 and Stanford -1.5), and total points over/under (155.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (SMU win and Stanford win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes and rendering the market unresolvable.Hero Tip:
The Kalshi moneyline market is fundamentally broken and should not be traded. All three Polymarket markets (moneyline, SMU spread, Stanford spread, and total) use consistent, mutually exclusive resolution logic: game winner determines moneyline outcome, point differential determines spread outcome, and combined score determines total outcome. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If SMU wins then Yes, If Stanford wins then Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same resolution, making it impossible to determine the correct resolution based on game result.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market states: If SMU wins then SMU Mustangs, If Stanford wins then Stanford Cardinal. Spread markets resolve based on point differential (2+ points required). Total market resolves based on combined score (156+ = Over). All outcomes are mutually exclusive and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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