TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SMU Mustangs vs. California Golden Bears
Volume:
$107,368
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between SMU Mustangs and California Golden Bears scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at -3.5 and -4.5, and over/under totals at 161.5, 162.5, and 163.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (California win or SMU win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between winners.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market. Use Polymarket's moneyline instead, which correctly resolves to SMU Mustangs if SMU wins or California Golden Bears if California wins. All spread and over/under markets are logically sound and consistent across both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If California wins the game, resolves to Yes. If SMU wins the game, resolves to No. However, the source data shows both outcomes resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. Quote: 'If California wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If SMU wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market clearly states: If SMU Mustangs win, market resolves to SMU Mustangs. If California Golden Bears win, market resolves to California Golden Bears. Quote: 'If the SMU Mustangs win, the market will resolve to SMU Mustangs. If the California Golden Bears win, the market will resolve to California Golden Bears.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.