TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors (W)
Volume:
$9,497
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Siena Saints and Merrimack College Warriors scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets track which team wins the game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary resolution logic is contradictory and unresolvable — both possible game outcomes (Siena win or Merrimack win) are mapped to Yes. Polymarket uses correct categorical resolution (team name as outcome).Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version without explicit platform clarification. The market as stated cannot function: there is no No outcome. Polymarket's market is the only viable one and should be treated as the authoritative resolution source.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure with logical failure: both "Merrimack wins" and "Siena wins" resolve to Yes. No path to No resolution exists. Quote: 'If Merrimack wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Siena wins...resolves to Yes'.
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution: outcome is the winning team name (Siena Saints or Merrimack College Warriors). Handles postponement by keeping market open and cancellation with 50-50 split. Quote: 'If the Siena Saints win, the market will resolve to Siena Saints. If the Merrimack College Warriors win, the market will resolve to Merrimack College Warriors.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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