This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Siena Saints and Merrimack College Warriors scheduled for February 20, 2026. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting, and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms apply identical core logic: final score determines all outcomes, postponement keeps markets open, cancellation triggers 50-50 split, and overtime is included in final score.
Primary resolution logic:
NCAA official final score (ncaa.com) and game records
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline: Market resolves to the team with the higher final score
Spread (Merrimack -3.5): Resolves to Merrimack if they win by 4+ points, otherwise Siena
Spread (Merrimack -2.5): Resolves to Merrimack if they win by 3+ points, otherwise Siena
Over/Under 133.5: Resolves Over if combined score is 134+, Under if 133 or less
Over/Under 132.5: Resolves Over if combined score is 133+, Under if 132 or less
Over/Under 131.5: Resolves Over if combined score is 132+, Under if 131 or less
Final score includes all overtime periods
If game is postponed, markets remain open until game completion
If game is canceled with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: If the game is postponed to a later date, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is actually played and completed.
Cancellation without makeup: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between Yes and No, or equivalent for spread/total markets).
Overtime inclusion: All final scores used for resolution include any overtime periods played; the game is not considered complete until all overtime is finished.
Spread tie scenarios: For Merrimack -3.5 spread: if Merrimack wins by exactly 3 points, market resolves to Siena. For Merrimack -2.5 spread: if Merrimack wins by exactly 2 points, market resolves to Siena.
Total tie scenarios: For O/U 133.5: combined score of exactly 133 resolves Under. For O/U 132.5: combined score of exactly 132 resolves Under. For O/U 131.5: combined score of exactly 131 resolves Under.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final score is official and confirmed by NCAA records, typically within hours of game completion on February 20, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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