TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SHL: Skellefteaa vs. Luleaa
Volume:
$10,068
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional SHL (Swedish Hockey League) game between Skellefteaa and Luleaa scheduled for April 9, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi both aim to resolve based on the final match outcome, but differ significantly in their logical structure and scope.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: both possible game outcomes (Skellefteaa wins OR Luleaa wins) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution with clear winner determination.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The market cannot distinguish between the two teams' outcomes. Polymarket is the reliable venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market. Resolves to Skellefteaa if Skellefteaa wins, or Luleaa if Luleaa wins. Includes clear edge case handling: postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout winner gets +1 goal added for scoring purposes.
- Kalshi: Logical contradiction detected. Both conditional branches (Skellefteå wins → Yes; Lulea Hockey wins → Yes) resolve to the same outcome. No No resolution path is defined, making it impossible to distinguish between the two teams' outcomes or determine a losing condition.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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