This event group covers a professional SHL (Swedish Hockey League) ice hockey match between Rogle BK and Färjestad, scheduled for March 24, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout results.
Kalshi uses a binary Yes/No structure where both possible game outcomes (either team winning) resolve to Yes, while Polymarket uses a categorical structure that resolves to the specific winning team name. The markets have different settlement value distributions and are not directly comparable.
Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market appears to be a binary confirmation that the game will have a winner (not canceled). Polymarket is a winner-prediction market. These serve different purposes. If you want exposure to a specific team winning, use Polymarket. If you want to bet that the game completes with any winner, Kalshi is the appropriate choice.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market. Both Färjestad win and Rogle BK win resolve to Yes. No explicit No resolution condition stated for normal game completion. Key Quote: 'If Färjestad wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Rogle BK wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Categorical market resolving to winning team name. Roegle win resolves to Roegle, Faerjestad win resolves to Faerjestad. Includes explicit handling for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key Quote: 'If Roegle win, the market will resolve to "Roegle". If Faerjestad win, the market will resolve to "Faerjestad".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.