This event group covers a professional SHL (Swedish Hockey League) ice hockey match between Oerebro HK and Brynaes scheduled for March 12, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout rules.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Brynas IF wins OR HC Orebro wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible since only one team can win. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform clarifies the actual resolution logic. The contradiction suggests either: (1) it should be a Yes/No market where Yes means the game completes (either team wins) and No means cancellation, or (2) one outcome should resolve No instead of Yes. Contact Kalshi support for clarification. Polymarket's binary structure is unambiguous and tradeable.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clean binary structure: Oerebro HK win resolves to 'Oerebro HK', Brynaes win resolves to 'Brynaes'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Final score includes overtime and shootout adjustments (one goal added to winner in shootout case).
Kalshi: Contradictory dual-Yes logic: 'If Brynas IF wins...resolves to Yes. If HC Orebro wins...resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve Yes. No explicit handling of postponement or cancellation stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.