This event group covers the SHL (Swedish Hockey League) match between HV 71 and Linkoeping scheduled for March 5, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this professional ice hockey game, with resolution based on final score including overtime and shootout rules.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Linkoping win and HV71 win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket provides a coherent binary resolution structure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution logic is broken - it guarantees Yes regardless of game outcome. Contact Kalshi support to clarify if this is a template error. Trade only on Polymarket until Kalshi corrects the market definition.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clean binary structure: HV 71 victory resolves to HV 71, Linkoeping victory resolves to Linkoeping. Includes proper edge case handling for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Shootout rule clarified: winning team gets +1 goal added to score. Key Quote: If HV 71 win, the market will resolve to HV 71. If Linkoeping win, the market will resolve to Linkoeping.
Kalshi: Logically incoherent: states both If Linkoping HC wins THEN Yes AND If HV71 wins THEN Yes. This creates a tautology where every possible outcome resolves to Yes, eliminating any meaningful market function. Key Quote: If Linkoping HC wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If HV71 wins...then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.