TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
Volume:
$61,271
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC and Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Shenzhen win, Tianjin win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's draw market resolves to Yes for all three possible match outcomes (draw, Shenzhen win, Tianjin win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. Polymarket's three separate markets are mutually exclusive and properly structured.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's draw market is fundamentally broken and cannot be settled fairly. Do not trade on Kalshi's markets for this event. Use Polymarket's three separate outcome markets (Shenzhen win, Tianjin win, draw) as the reliable settlement source, as they are logically consistent and cover all possibilities.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three outcomes (Tie, Shenzhen win, Tianjin win) are specified to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes and will always resolve Yes regardless of the actual result.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Shenzhen win (Yes/No), Tianjin win (Yes/No), and draw (Yes/No). Exactly one resolves Yes based on the actual 90-minute result; the other two resolve No. Logically sound and mutually exclusive.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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