TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
kalshi
polymarket

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC

Volume:
$61,271

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 14, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shenzhen Peng City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,527
N/A
N/A
$6,252
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,516
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,778
N/A
N/A
$4,773
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,276
N/A
N/A
$3,288
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,018
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC and Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Shenzhen win, Tianjin win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's draw market resolves to Yes for all three possible match outcomes (draw, Shenzhen win, Tianjin win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. Polymarket's three separate markets are mutually exclusive and properly structured.Hero tip: Kalshi's draw market is fundamentally broken and cannot be settled fairly. Do not trade on Kalshi's markets for this event. Use Polymarket's three separate outcome markets (Shenzhen win, Tianjin win, draw) as the reliable settlement source, as they are logically consistent and cover all possibilities.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: All three outcomes (Tie, Shenzhen win, Tianjin win) are specified to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes and will always resolve Yes regardless of the actual result.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Shenzhen win (Yes/No), Tianjin win (Yes/No), and draw (Yes/No). Exactly one resolves Yes based on the actual 90-minute result; the other two resolve No. Logically sound and mutually exclusive.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.