TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Ipswich Town FC
Volume:
$143,387
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Sheffield Wednesday FC and Ipswich Town FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are tracked across platforms: Sheffield Wednesday win, Ipswich Town win, or a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation edge case handling differs between platforms. Polymarket treats cancellation as a No for win markets but Yes for draw; Kalshi treats all outcomes as Yes if the event is recorded as occurring.Hero Tip:
Monitor EFL official channels for any cancellation announcements. If a match is canceled without rescheduling, Polymarket draw backers win while win backers lose; Kalshi resolves all outcomes to Yes. This is a low-probability edge case but creates asymmetric payoff risk.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Sheffield Wednesday win resolves Yes if Wednesday wins, No otherwise; Draw resolves Yes if draw, Yes if canceled (no make-up); Ipswich win resolves Yes if Ipswich wins, No otherwise. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for win markets) and 'Yes' (for draw market).
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets covering all possible outcomes (Tie, Sheffield Wednesday, Ipswich). Each resolves Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard practice would resolve all to Yes if match is officially recorded as occurring. Quote: 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes' (and equivalent for each team).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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