On March 24, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, the San Jose Sharks will play the Nashville Predators in an NHL game. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing outcomes related to the final score (moneyline winner, combined goals over/under thresholds) and margin of victory. All resolution criteria reference the official final score including overtime and shootout adjustments.
Kalshi settles on individual spread/margin outcomes (Nashville or San Jose winning by specific goal differentials), while Polymarket settles on combined total goals (Over/Under thresholds) and moneyline winner. The platforms measure fundamentally different aspects of the same game.
Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi, you are predicting specific margin-of-victory scenarios. If you bet on Polymarket, you are predicting either total combined goals or the outright winner. A high-scoring game (e.g., Nashville 4, San Jose 1) resolves YES on Kalshi (Nashville >1.5) but may resolve differently on Polymarket depending on which total or moneyline market you chose. Ensure your bet aligns with what you actually want to predict.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves based on margin-of-victory thresholds for either team. All four markets trigger on Nashville winning by over 1.5 goals, Nashville winning by over 2.5 goals, San Jose winning by over 1.5 goals, or San Jose winning by over 2.5 goals. Key quote: 'If Nashville wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If San Jose wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers four separate markets: three Over/Under total-goals markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 combined goals) and one moneyline market (Sharks vs. Predators winner) plus one spread market (Predators -1.5). Each resolves independently on different criteria. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Sharks and Predators combine to score 5 or more goals' (O/U 4.5) and 'If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to Sharks' (moneyline).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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