TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sharks vs. Oilers
Volume:
$1,102,516
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL game between the San Jose Sharks and Edmonton Oilers scheduled for March 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting, and total goals over/under at multiple thresholds across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi spread markets use asymmetric goal thresholds (San Jose >2.5, Edmonton >1.5) while Polymarket uses a symmetric -1.5 spread. This creates conflicting outcomes in scenarios like a 2-goal San Jose victory.Hero Tip:
Avoid arbitrage between Kalshi and Polymarket spread markets until the threshold discrepancy is clarified. Focus on moneyline and totals, which are logically consistent. If trading spreads, confirm Kalshi's intent: are the asymmetric thresholds deliberate market design or a configuration error?Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Spread resolution uses team-specific asymmetric thresholds. San Jose win >2.5 goals = Yes. Edmonton win >1.5 goals = Yes. Implies San Jose 2-goal wins may resolve differently than Edmonton 2-goal wins. Key Quote: 'If San Jose wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes. If Edmonton wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Spread uses symmetric -1.5 threshold. Oilers win by 2+ goals = Oilers. All other outcomes (Sharks win any margin, Oilers win by 1 or less) = Sharks. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Oilers if the Oilers win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Sharks.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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