TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sharks vs. Blues
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 26 at 8:00PM ET: If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Sharks". If the Blues win, the market will resolve to "Blues". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different threshold interpretations for over/under markets. Kalshi markets resolve YES if the threshold is exceeded (e.g., over 5.5 means 6+ goals), while Polymarket markets resolve Over if the threshold is met or exceeded with explicit goal counts (e.g., O/U 4.5 resolves Over at 5+ goals). Additionally, Polymarket includes a shootout rule (one goal added to winning team) that is not mentioned in Kalshi's terms.Hero Tip:
If you trade the same over/under threshold on both platforms, verify the exact resolution trigger: Kalshi uses standard greater-than logic, while Polymarket explicitly states the goal count needed for Over resolution. The shootout rule on Polymarket may affect outcomes in close games decided in a shootout.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers eight separate over/under markets at thresholds 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, and 9.5 goals, each resolving YES if the combined total exceeds that threshold. No shootout rule is specified in the resolution criteria.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers four over/under markets (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) that resolve Over when the combined total meets or exceeds a specific goal count (5, 6, 7, 8 respectively), plus a moneyline market and a spread market. Polymarket explicitly includes a shootout rule: 'In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.'
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