Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All three platforms (Polymarket draw market, Polymarket win markets, and Kalshi) resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 18, 2026, with identical scope and source hierarchy.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the governing body (Bundesliga/DFL) or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus.
Core resolution logic:
The match outcome is determined solely by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Exactly one of three mutually exclusive outcomes will occur: SG Dynamo Dresden wins, VfL Bochum wins, or the match ends in a draw.
Each Polymarket resolves YES for its specific outcome and NO for all others; Kalshi resolves YES if any outcome occurs (match is completed).
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed and resolved.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves YES, and Polymarket win markets resolve NO; Kalshi resolves YES (match completion condition met via cancellation clause).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed. Resolution is delayed but logic remains unchanged.
Match Cancellation Without Make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves YES (per explicit rule), Polymarket win markets resolve NO, and Kalshi resolves YES (match completion via cancellation).
Source Fallback Timing: If official governing body statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting instead.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 18, 2026, or upon match cancellation if no make-up game is scheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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