TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV 07 Elversberg
Volume:
$167,935
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Bundesliga 2 professional soccer match between SG Dynamo Dresden and SV 07 Elversberg scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets track the outcome of the match within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with separate binary markets for each team's victory and a draw outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation outcome divergence between platforms. Polymarket explicitly handles cancellation with asymmetric resolution (Draw=Yes, Wins=No), while Kalshi's three-outcome structure does not address cancellation scenarios, creating potential settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until completion—no immediate risk. If the match is canceled with no make-up game, expect Polymarket Draw market to resolve Yes and Win markets to resolve No. Clarify Kalshi's cancellation protocol in advance to avoid disputes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Elversberg Win, Dresden Win, Draw). On cancellation with no make-up: Win markets resolve No, Draw market resolves Yes. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (Draw only).
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution paths (Elversberg Win, Tie, Dresden Win), all resolving to Yes. Cancellation handling is not explicitly stated. Quote: 'If Elversberg wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Dresden wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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