TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF - More Markets
Volume:
$522,354
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group comprises eight related markets on the Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF La Liga match scheduled for March 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets cover spread outcomes (±1.5 and ±2.5 goal differentials), total goals over/under thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and both teams to score. All markets resolve based on the official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use different market structures and thresholds for spread betting. Polymarket offers symmetric spread markets at -1.5 and -2.5 for both teams, while Kalshi provides four asymmetric binary conditions covering wins by >1.5 and >2.5 goals for each team.Hero Tip:
If you trade spread markets across platforms, note that Polymarket's Sevilla FC (-1.5) resolves YES only if Sevilla wins by 2+ goals, whereas Kalshi's 'Sevilla wins by more than 1.5 goals' market resolves YES for the same outcome. The threshold language differs slightly but the outcome is equivalent. However, Kalshi's four separate binary markets create different bet structures than Polymarket's paired markets—verify your position matches your intended exposure before settling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket uses paired spread markets (Sevilla FC -1.5 vs Valencia CF -1.5, and Sevilla FC -2.5 vs Valencia CF -2.5) where exactly one side resolves YES per pair. For example, 'Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)' resolves YES if 'Sevilla FC win the game by 2 or more goals,' otherwise resolves to Valencia CF. All total markets (O/U 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) and Both Teams to Score use the same primary source: 'official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers' with a 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers four independent binary markets covering specific goal-margin outcomes: 'Valencia wins by more than 2.5 goals,' 'Sevilla wins by more than 1.5 goals,' 'Sevilla wins by more than 2.5 goals,' and 'Valencia wins by more than 1.5 goals.' Each resolves YES or NO independently based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit fallback source or 2-hour resolution window is stated; resolution is tied directly to the official final score.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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