TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés
Volume:
$1,566,745
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the La Liga match between Sevilla FC and Deportivo Alavés scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets assess whether Sevilla wins, Alavés wins, or the match ends in a draw, with all resolutions based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Sevilla win, Alavés win, draw) are specified to resolve to Yes. This makes the market logically unresolvable and suggests a fundamental data integrity failure. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with consistent cancellation rules.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets for this event until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The current specification guarantees logical impossibility. Polymarket markets are resolvable and should be treated as the reliable reference.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Sevilla win, Alavés win, tie) are specified to resolve to Yes if the match occurs and completes. This creates a logical contradiction since only one outcome can occur. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Sevilla wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Alaves wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in a draw; Sevilla market resolves Yes only if Sevilla wins; Alavés market resolves Yes only if Alavés wins. Cancellation with no makeup: Draw resolves Yes, but Sevilla/Alavés markets resolve No. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs 'this market will resolve No' (team win markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.