TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés
kalshi
polymarket

Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés

Volume:
$1,566,745

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$26,566
$236,104
N/A
N/A
$103,867
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alaves

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$35,072
$420,578
N/A
N/A
$241,593
Settled
No
kalshi

Sevilla

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$22,260
$406,647
N/A
N/A
$213,349
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$81,453
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Sevilla FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$265,580
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Deportivo Alavés

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$156,383
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the La Liga match between Sevilla FC and Deportivo Alavés scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets assess whether Sevilla wins, Alavés wins, or the match ends in a draw, with all resolutions based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Sevilla win, Alavés win, draw) are specified to resolve to Yes. This makes the market logically unresolvable and suggests a fundamental data integrity failure. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with consistent cancellation rules.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets for this event until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The current specification guarantees logical impossibility. Polymarket markets are resolvable and should be treated as the reliable reference.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Sevilla win, Alavés win, tie) are specified to resolve to Yes if the match occurs and completes. This creates a logical contradiction since only one outcome can occur. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Sevilla wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Alaves wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in a draw; Sevilla market resolves Yes only if Sevilla wins; Alavés market resolves Yes only if Alavés wins. Cancellation with no makeup: Draw resolves Yes, but Sevilla/Alavés markets resolve No. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs 'this market will resolve No' (team win markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.